Daily Kos

Obama next move: High Profile Republican/Obamican Roll-out

Wed Jul 23, 2008 at 10:54:05 AM PDT

First off, I have to admit that I loath Mark Halperin.  That said, the insufferable twit often times gets the goods on Obama's moves a few days prior to the actual.  For instance, just before Edwards endorsed Obama, a day or two prior, he had on the site a photo of John with a question about him linking him to Obama.  It's clear that Halperin gets some heavy hints from inside the Obama campaign which leads to his putting up posts like today's headline

Republicans for Obama

An organized effort is underway to get some big-name Republicans to come out for the Land of Lincolner.

Maybe some of them will even speak at the Democratic convention in Denver.

Many are long-time friends of John McCain; click here to find out why they might cross the aisle to vote for Obama.

The Groundgame: Obama's Colorado Office openings draw 1,200 supporters and wider strategy

Thu Jul 17, 2008 at 04:09:40 PM PDT

On the rec list, there is a diary concerned with election theft, and in this one, I'll present reasons why theft can't happen this year.  I believe that while a close election could be stolen, you won't be able to steal a landslide...

 On the front page, there is a great piece discussing the 20 offices opening all over Virginia, and the McCain camp reaction is simply classic...

Marc Ambinder also notified us today that the offices are opening in Montana too

That a Democratic presidential candidate opened six campaign offices in Montana? As of Saturday, Obama For America will have 24/7 "Campaign for Change" outposts In Billings, Bozeman, Butte, Great Falls, Helena and Missoula.

Honestly, these News Releases are very abstract, without context, visuals, and don't break into the National News.  That's why I want to draw attention to the turn out of 1,200 volunteers greeting the opening of Colorado's field offices on Tuesday.

Obama issues statement on Bush's Iranian Flip Flop

Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 10:10:06 AM PDT

"I welcome news that the Bush Administration has shifted course and will send an envoy for direct talks as part of the P5+1 with the Iranians in Geneva this weekend. I commend our European allies and other friends on this effort. Now that the United States is involved, it should stay involved with the full strength of our diplomacy. A united front with our friends and allies directly calling on the Iranians to stand down on their illicit nuclear program will maximize the international pressure we can bring to bear and will show the Iranian people that Iran's isolation is a function of its government's unwillingness to live up to its obligations. Iran should live up to its obligations now; by waiting, it will only face greater isolation."

I think this sorta harkens back to the slinkerwink diary yesterday about pity comments and keeping it simple... I would have preferred Obama be a bit more direct...

ABC: Obama +8, Confirming Quinnipiac from this morning

Tue Jul 15, 2008 at 02:28:38 PM PDT

ABC Just released their poll here

Of course the article skews and head fakes its way to champion the horserace, highlighting every strenght of McCain while overlooking the Obama strengths.

All told, Obama leads McCain among registered voters by 8 points in this ABC/Post poll, 50-42 percent.

Turnout makes a difference: It's 51-39 percent among all adults overall, but narrows to a close 49-46 percent match among likely voters. As noted, Republicans are among those more likely to vote; young adults, less so.

And that's the key... which story is the media willing to tell and while lie are they willing to live by for ratings. Pick your byline:

Likely Voters:
Obama 49, McCain 46

Registered Voters:
Obama 50, McCain 42
Obama 49, McCain 39, Barr 2, Nader 5

Adults:
Obama 51, McCain 39
Obama 49, McCain 36, Barr 2, Nader 5

McCain: "reducing the energy supplies to Czechoslovakia."

Mon Jul 14, 2008 at 12:26:54 PM PDT

It's quite sad that it took a reader to note this Gaffe to end all Gaffe's rather than our informed press.... that said, Today John McCain invoked a long non-existent country, again proving his superior grasp upon Foreign Policy.

A reader notes that John McCain today expressed concern about Russia's "reducing the energy supplies to Czechoslovakia."

Which hasn't existed for nearly two decades.

Full Context

Digg It

mccain then obama

Fri Jul 11, 2008 at 11:28:18 PM PDT

what more can you say other than Youtube of the YEAR

Poll

who

88%37 votes
11%5 votes

| 42 votes | Vote | Results

CNBC: Electing Obama could lower OIL by $40/Barrel

Wed Jul 09, 2008 at 09:39:21 AM PDT

Some honest reporting by CNBC today that leaves me unsurprised but may confuse many in the MSM...

If Barrack Obama wins the presidency, the price of oil could fall by $40 per barrel. The financial markets will discount the possibility before hand, at least partially. There are three ways in which this could happen:

  1. As was the case during the Clinton administration, Obama might be more inclined to intervene in the foreign exchange market to support the value of the dollar....
  1. Obama will speak in a more concilatory tone toward nations in the Middle East. If he does, some of the risk premium would likely be extracted from the oil price.
  1. Energy conservation and investment in energy infrastructure are likely to increase if Obama wins...

The choice this year is simple:  

Obama: Oil @ or under $100

McCain: Oil @ or above $200

Last week's uncovered story: McCain's gambling addiction; Updated with Analysis of Habits

Sun Jul 06, 2008 at 08:27:32 AM PDT

Last week was a relatively slow news week, which makes it all the more puzzling that this bombshell of a story wasn't covered more by either the television pundits or the blog-o-sphere... obviously, one reason is because many on the blog-o-sphere now believe the election is in the bag and we don't really have to work much anymore to make it happen (publisher of this dKos included).  I disagree strongly, and I think this story is both relevant and revealing.  Relevant because it should give Christian Fundies serious pause about John "McCraps" and revealing because it illustrates what sort of personal attributes John "McCraps" has.

Here's the original Time Piece

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John McCain's questioning of Barack Obama's Patriotism

Fri Jul 04, 2008 at 07:38:24 AM PDT

Happy Fourth of July... wouldn't it be nice if we had two candidate who were respectful and recognize each other as Patriotic Americans?  Unfortunately, we have one candidate who is honorable and secure enough to recognize his opponent's Patriotism, and conversely we have another candidite who is a petulant asshole... case in point.

John McCain is saying that Barack Obama is not patriotic. A few days ago, when asked if he questioned Obama's patriotism, McCain did not answer the question.

And now, in today's Parade magazine, McCain has an essay on patriotism:

Patriotism is deeper than its symbolic expressions, than sentiments about place and kinship that move us to hold our hands over our hearts during the national anthem. It is putting the country first, before party or personal ambition, before anything.

Context below the jump.

Markos, you Blockhead.... let me boil it down for you on FISA

Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 02:59:54 PM PDT

Today Barack Obama wrote:

This was not an easy call for me... It grants retroactive immunity to telecommunications companies that may have violated the law by cooperating with the Bush Administration's program of warrantless wiretapping. This potentially weakens the deterrent effect of the law and removes an important tool for the American people to demand accountability for past abuses. That's why I support striking Title II from the bill, and will work with Chris Dodd, Jeff Bingaman and others in an effort to remove this provision in the Senate.

Yet today Markos was a blockhead when he wrote:

Bottom line is that Obama wants to cave on FISA not because of "moving to the center" concerns, but because they are afraid of television ads claiming Obama is inviting terrorists over for BBQ.

Really, did he email you that, because he did send us a message you know...

Poll

Barack Obama's Statement today

49%1916 votes
33%1316 votes
9%382 votes
6%263 votes

| 3877 votes | Vote | Results

Major McCain shake-up as the RNC goes on air Big in 4 Battlegrounds

Wed Jul 02, 2008 at 11:07:20 AM PDT

Alot changing fast in the campaign world as it seems team McCain is using his trip abroad as cover to make some significant changes...

First up, McCain has a new Day-to-Day as Rick Davis steps aside for "long term" stuff (i.e. back burner bullshit)

Steve Schmidt, a bald and barrel-chested operative known for his aggressive brand of political combat, responded by exhorting campaign aides with a speech that one staffer likened to a locker room pep talk out of the football movie "Rudy."

McCain sources say Schmidt, who ran Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger's reelection campaign and was a top communications aide in Bush-Cheney '04, will coordinate the campaign's daily pro-McCain and anti-Obama message.

Perhaps most important for the campaign's image is the addition of Greg Jenkins, a veteran advanceman who ran presidential advance in the Bush White House. Jenkins, also an aide on Bush's 2000 campaign, is working to ensure better stagecraft of McCain's events and to avoid a reprisal of the much-mocked green background behind McCain at a high-profile speech last month.

Keep your stinkin' Money Kos, We'll do $3000 for Obama!

Mon Jun 30, 2008 at 09:10:38 PM PDT

Whose joining me? Tonight I gave $120 to Barack Obama to step up in place of Kos' purity trollin' closed wallet...

Join me today, on this fundraising page, to replace Kos' misguided outrage...

http://my.barackobama.com/...

Why is Kos doing this?  Well, obviously he's interested in individual house races, a House that is totally controlled by the Democrats...

Me, I'm interested in the White House, as are you...

The Deadline hasn't passed yet. We have 50 Minutes Central, 1 Hr 50M Mountain, 2hr 50M Pacific.

http://my.barackobama.com/...

Donate Tonight!

Obama's Newest Ad "Dignity"

Mon Jun 30, 2008 at 11:45:03 AM PDT

Script:

I’m Barack Obama, and I approve this message.

Announcer: He worked his way through college and Harvard Law.

Turned down big money offers, and helped lift neighborhoods stung by job loss. Fought for workers’ rights.

He passed a law to move people from welfare to work, slashed the rolls by eighty percent. Passed tax cuts for workers; health care for kids.

As president, he’ll end tax breaks for companies that export jobs, reward those that create jobs in America.

And never forget the dignity that comes from work.

Poll

On a Scale from 1 to 10, How effective is "Dignity"

3%6 votes
1%2 votes
0%1 votes
3%6 votes
6%11 votes
7%12 votes
15%26 votes
29%48 votes
13%23 votes
18%30 votes

| 165 votes | Vote | Results

Not just the Internet, McCain can't use a Fricken Telephone!

Sat Jun 28, 2008 at 09:42:41 AM PDT

I don't know about you, but I don't want someone answering the phone at 3AM if they can't figure out they're on a dead line...  It's not just the new fangled internet that John McCain can't use or understand, apparently his difficiencies also extend to the Telephone, invented in 1875....  

This is sad because it shows a basic techonological incompetence by John McCain, just as the US faces risks internationally from Internet based terrorists as well as economic challenges from the highly connected society now creating telecommutors in dozens of industries through outsourcing.

This is not snark, I couldn't make it up if I'd tried...

Although John McCain was stumping in Ohio on Friday, his campaign arranged for him to talk by phone to leaders of B'nai B'rith International, a major Jewish group, who were meeting in Ottawa. Reporters were invited to dial in to the conference call at 3 p.m. to listen.

McCain soon came on the line and launched into his spiel. "Thank you for all the good you do," he began.

Then silence.

Gallup/Poblano unlock the Key to Obama's Victory - Acknowledge the negative... Who's our attack dog?

Fri Jun 27, 2008 at 01:05:23 PM PDT

Dear Chicago Obama HQ: PLEASE READ AND INTERNALIZE

You don't discover this sort of gold mine every day, and really, it's all John McCain's fault when they sent out that silly memo questioning the LA Time's poll that had Barack up 12 points.  How can the LA Times show Barack +12 when Gallup is Tied? Well, today, the answer is fleshed out by resident genius, Poblano.  It's so simple, it's gorgeous.

First, Poblano discusses what Gallup has indicated is a possible cause for the differences in Polling

As is always the case, there are some slight differences in the way the polls are conducted. The Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll asks a "right direction/wrong direction" question before the ballot. Our Gallup Poll Daily tracking asks a registered voter screen before the ballot. The Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll includes the phrase "or would you vote for a candidate from some other party?" Our Gallup poll does not include this phrase. It is unclear how the order of these questions may affect the polling results.

Poll

Whose the Best Messenger for Negative Attack Dog politics

16%369 votes
25%577 votes
18%437 votes
17%413 votes
15%348 votes
6%157 votes

| 2301 votes | Vote | Results

Breaking: Obama's New Pro-FISA Themed Commercial

Wed Jun 25, 2008 at 09:07:59 PM PDT

You read that right, imagine if it were true... I'm making a point.  A point that really needs to be made... in the midst of this FISA controversy, we need to take a step back and remember that on the GOP side, their candidate is completely running away from all things GOP, as fast as he can

Barack Obama's compromise on FISA is political... fault him we will, complain sure, but public divorce with your vote and/or money is entirely Foolish at this point. I'm looking at you, and you buddy...

For the first time in ages, we actually have an actual Democrat running as a Democrat.

Chris Bowers has the scoop... But first, watch "Barack's FISA Advertisement"

McCain's Camp Releases Memo Attacking the LA Times Poll; or You know you're losing When...

Wed Jun 25, 2008 at 10:19:35 AM PDT

This is Incomprehensably laughable.  The Schizophrenia Express rolls on another day, another Huh?

Read the Memo Here (PDF)

Essentially, McCain's campaign commissioned their "Ace" polling firm, Public Opinion Strategies, to Debunk the LA Times Poll.  As you can see via Poblano, McCain's polling firm is among the worst polling firms nationally.  To make matters worse, the campaign tries to stop the rising tide of Party ID by arguing that the poll is improperly balanced, and then goes on to Rebalance the poll.  

If party identification on the L.A. Times survey is recalculated to just down by ten (29% GOP / 39% Dem / 27% Ind / 5% Don’t Know/Refused), the ballot would be 40% McCain – 47% Obama.

One big problem with this reweighting... it essentially throws the landscape out the window to favor McCain.

Breaking: President Bill Clinton Offers Support to Barack Obama

Tue Jun 24, 2008 at 08:24:28 AM PDT

Breaking at this hour

Spokesman Matt McKenna in one-sentence statement: “President Clinton is obviously committed to doing whatever he can and is asked to do to ensure Senator Obama is the next president of the United States.”

Let me be the first to welcome President Bill Clinton to Camp Obama.  The Obama Campaign's statement:

"A unified Democratic Party is going to be a powerful force for change this year and we're confident President Clinton will play a big role in that," said Obama spokesman Bill Burton.

Bill Clinton will not be attending the unity rally Friday between the two former rivals Friday in New Hampshire. McKenna said the former president is in Europe this week to celebrate Nelson Mandela's 90th birthday, give speeches and work for the William J. Clinton Foundation.


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